2012年4月11日

One Should Read



日期:2012/04/10

One should read the chapter on strange anomalies in presidential names and victories in Fads and Fallacies in the Name of Science by Martin Gardner to see how multiple classification, i.e. over determination, and many more hypotheseses than elections can come up with the strangest, craziest predictors of election results based on things like their names, or moves in the market during certain period.

I always love when Bloomberg, which is the most biased in my opinion news service in favor of democrats, always trots out the canard that markets do better during democratic presidencies than republicans. Martin Gardner where are you. Of course if you start here or there, and don't take account of the moves likes in 2008 of -50% before the inauguration in fear of the coming president you can come up with things as silly as what Gardner reports.

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